It was more a horse with controlled energy who just was too fast for his stablemate in what was supposed to be a maintenance work. Arrogate, a gray son of Unbridled's Song bred in Kentucky by Clearsky Farms, won the Eclipse Award for champion 3-year-old male in 2016 and holds the North American record for career earnings with . ~ Steve Haskin, 1 Zandon (Chad Brown, Upstart Memories Prevail, by Creative Cause). However, Mendelssohn became seriously agitated in the walk over from the stable area . That takes a lot out of a horse, which is why I believe several of the favorites ran poorly. That those fractions took nothing out of him and he galloped out in another area code tells you all you need to know about this colt. He had a monster Thoro-Graph leap to run a career-high negative number; his Brisnet numbers show an equally huge leap; he will have five career starts; and has a strong 2-year-old foundation. I do know he is going to be a decent price in the Derby and if you still believe in him youre going to get great odds on a horse who once was the clear-cut favorite. The last horse to run in the Derby with only two starts was China Visit, who finished sixth in 2000. With Highly Motivated now on his wrong lead he just failed to hold off the champ, who got his neck in front right before the wire. He went into the Wood Memorial a fresh horse off a two-month layoff and now is fit and sharp and ready for a career-best effort. We know now he can be on the lead or sit back off the pace. I believe part of it is that many of the leading contenders were spinning their wheels on that deep track and never fired, resulting in a :39 1/5 final three-eighths, the slowest mile and an eighth stakes on the card, which earned him a slow 89 Beyer speed figure. You have to go for the lead either at the start and lull them to sleep or get the lead fairly early in the race. Rebel Stakes winner UN OJO will have his following and he does have a good closing kick, but all his numbers say he is just too slow. If you believe in blessings in disguise, consider this: if he had won the Florida Derby he would have gone into the Kentucky Derby off three consecutive two-turn graded stakes victories on dirt as a 3-year-old. He possesses a remarkable engine with numerous gears. Despite rallying from last place, Trakus statistics noted he raced only four feet wider than Early Voting, who ran uncontested on the lead after favored Morello blew the break. Instead of being inches apart with Essential Quality unable to get by him, they were now several paths apart with Essential Quality no longer having to look him in the eye. 99 Ranch Market. If he can turn in a more polished race in the Derby than he did when second in the Florida Derby, when he broke poorly and failed to keep a straight course in the lane, look out. Essential Quality(Brad Cox, Tapit Delightful Quality, by Elusive Quality) If he gets a good trip there is no telling what he is capable of. And on top of that he will have only one work in the four weeks between the Santa Anita Derby and Kentucky Derby, and that work was good, but nothing extraordinary. Epicenter clings to the top spot in the Dozen rankings due to his professionalism, experience, and progression at age 3. By Byron King. He was out for a long time before returning in the mile and eighth Risen Star Stakes. Heck, four of the last five Triple Crown winners didnt do it. By the time he asked him to run turning into the stretch Epicenter was long gone. Read More, Tiz the Law remains on top of the Derby Dozen, as much of his competition prepares for the divisions of the Arkansas Derby. In fact you can blame him for his work in company with Smile Happy going awry, as he was so keyed up early he basically sprinted clear of his workmate who was supposed to be right up there with him. Read More, Were going to do something different this week. What I dont understand is all the panicking over one defeat. This is all about hopes and dreams and we certainly have both.. He remains second in the Dozen, not passing Epicenter, due to his tendency to break flat-footed, which, if repeated, could impact his early positioning in the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve. Probably since the Roller City across the street was still there. Little seems to separate these three talented colts, but this 3-year-old may have the most upside out of what was the strongest prep on the Road to the Kentucky Derby to this point in the year. He is coming off a very impressive victory in the UAE Derby going 1 3/16 miles and was relentless in the stretch going after the loose on the lead Summer is Tomorrow in what was a two-horse race down the stretch. on Monday, May 2nd, 2022 at 8:53 am and is filed under Derby Rankings. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! 10 Charge It (Todd Pletcher, Tapit Ill Take Charge, by Indian Charlie). The first Derby Dozen for 2020 finds Dennis' Moment on top. Even at age 89, Ron is out at the track every morning unless Im able to lasso him in, Debbie continued. 1 spot as we head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) May 23. His race in the Holy Bull was similar to Zandon's in the Risen Star in that he dug a hole for himself, caught the eye with a threatening second turn rally, and then flattened in the lane. He has move-forward potential at Churchill Downs, where he won the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes last fall. He outkicked Zandon for the place after the latter had rallied past him in early stretch, though both were only just a little bit ahead of longshot fourth-place finisherPioneer of Medinaat the wire. Was it due to the addition of Lasix? But Casse got him to run much more professionally and he was able to carry his speed farther than one might have thought at that point in his career. Read More, Tiz the Law remains on top of the Derby Dozen, as much of his competition prepares for the divisions of the Arkansas Derby. His granddam comes from one of the strongest European sires lines of modern times, from her sire Darshaan, who won the French Derby and was a champion sire and broodmare sire in three countries to Darshaans sire Shirley Heights, who the English and Irish Derby and sired a French Derby winner and English Derby winner in back-to-back years to Shirley Heights sire, the legendary Mill Reef, winner of the English Derby, King George, and Arc de Triomphe, whose record of six consecutive Group 1 victories stood for 30 years and who sired eight classic winners and a Breeders Cup Turf winner. Both comments and pings are currently closed. He has been moving with great authority, especially in his six-furlong work in 1:12 1/5 in company, in which drew clear from his workmate and then galloped out another eighth in :12 2/5 to complete the seven furlongs in a sprightly 1:24 3/5. 3. But Highly Motivated wouldnt quit. I mentioned last week he had run at least one race in every month since September, including a mile and eighth race last fall over a deep tiring track, and this year ran too fast, too good, too early. So again like Smile Happy I am willing to overlook the fact that he was passed in the final eighth and will benefit a great deal from that race coming off a layoff. We use cookies to personalise content and ads, to provide social media features and to analyse our traffic. He surely has the bottom under him and is dead fit. For a horse making just his second start in the Runhappy Santa Anita Derby, and off merely a debut win at six furlongs, his inexperience never showed. He probably will need points if they do want to give him a shot, so watch for him to show up in Saturdays Lexington Stakes, which would also give him one last shot to get his act together and stop lugging out in the stretch every race. Will definitely be coming back". Only five horses have run in the Derby with one or two pre-Derby starts. Because there are so many new faces emerging who could be major Derby contenders by Sept. 5, there will be two rankings this week. The usual list of horses who have already established themselves and a separate list in Knocking on the Door comprised of late developers who have only competed in maiden and allowance races and have not yet faced stakes I also love his Thoro-Graph pattern, which indicates he is ready for a good move forward following his pairing up fast numbers. Although his half-mile final work in :48 3/5 in company with the speedy My Prankster was solid at best I did like the way he did it, with his rider way up in the saddle and doing virtually nothing with him. Maybe UAE Derby runner-up Panadol. He has just three starts under his girth, two in maiden races and one in a stakes race. Highly Motivated (Chad Brown, Into Mischief Strong Incentive, by Warriors Reward) Read More, 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Just when you thought Tiz the Law was shifting his gears to neutral following the Curlin Florida Derby (G1), breezing an easy :52 4/5 half-mile, he shifts back into drive with a sharp 1:00 3/5 work for five furlongs. Who knows, maybe he was just treading water until he was able to stretch out to a mile and an eighth. O BESOS He looks to have little chance of getting in with 25 points. Last weekend, Epicenter won theRisen Star Stakes Presented by Lamarque FordatFair Groundsto vault to the top of the Kentucky Derby points leaderboard. This entry was posted Medina Spirit (Bob Baffert, Protonico Mongolian Changa, by Brilliant Speed) 1. I am looking at him as a horse who has had more than three starts because I have never seen a horse gallop out after a race the way he does and comes back as if he wants to go around again. He needs continued improvement to score a Derby upset, but he has developed with each start. I don't know your area anymore. The Derby might be a race or two too early for him, but he has to be respected. In California, DREAM SHAKE picked up another piece of the purse, but doesnt seem quite ready to move forward in the Derby. Read More, With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. I am saving my two huge longshots for last, although Im not sure just how big a longshot Crown Pride is going to be. So in my opinion there is little strategy to discuss. Steve Haskin's Derby Dozen Derby Prep Races Derby Contenders Triple Crown Nominations 2016 Triple Crown Races Kentucky Derby Preakness Stakes Belmont Stakes June 11 Triple Crown History. In the work he came home his final quarter in :23 3/5 with the riders hands turned down loosely allowing him to do everything on his own. That should help set him up foruh, nothing. He did turn in a swift half-mile work in a bullet :46 4/5, fastest of 64 works at the distance. He had his ears up the entire length of the stretch with the rider way up in the saddle and really poured it on after the wire, putting his ears back and picking up the pace. He was given a cue to switch leads by his rider and did so in a bullet five-furlong solo workout :58.62 at Gulfstream this past Saturday. And they did not face strong fields in the Derby. He does need to continue to move forward and improve his Thoro-Graph numbers, but I doubt there is anyone who believes that wont happen. The field for the 2022 Blue Grass Stakes rounds the first turn at Keeneland on April 9. As Aaron Rodgers spelled out a few years ago after the Green Bay Packers lost several games: R-E-L-A-X. There is a reason he was ranked No. CADDO RIVER While on the subject of throwing a race out, Brad Cox will also be doing it for Caddo River after his disappointing effort in the Rebel Stakes when he wasnt asked to challenge Concert Tour for the early lead and fought his rider, eventually fading out of contention. By Byron King April 26, 2022 Derby Dozen: Arrivals, Workouts Pick Up With Preps Over Byron King's Top. Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. reported last week that this colt exited the Holy Bull Stakes in good condition while he awaits the April 2 Curlin Florida Derby at Gulfstream. He will be on or right off the pace, but how far he can cay his speed is the main question. A weekly show dedicated to handicappers and horse players. In his most recent work, still at Gulfstream, which went late in the afternoon, he was a powerhouse in the stretch and galloping out, and was striding out beautifully. I cant help but feel that this colt is a far better than his overall record looks and he is capable of great things when allowed to run his race. BloodHorse news editor Byron King presents his latest Derby Dozen for 2022, with a look at his leading contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve on May 7. This not a horse who needs the lead and I am looking forward to seeing how he runs sitting off the pace, just as I was when American Pharoah ran in the Arkansas Derby and showed he was capable of winning that way. 5. By Steve Haskin May 5, 2020 A Big Day for Big Red The scroll on. Now it's up to him to go out there and match his stablemate's performance when he returns to Tampa for the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2). 1 spot as we head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) May 23. 6 Taiba (Tim Yakteen, Gun Runner Needmore Flattery, by Flatter). In the 22 years Ive been doing Derby Dozen and Derby Rankings I have never had a tougher time deciding who to put No. I believe once he becomes more polished we will see a very good horse who will win his share of stakes. His victories will come; it just doesnt have to be in the Kentucky Derby. Copyright 20042023 Yelp Inc. Yelp, , and related marks are registered trademarks of Yelp. I would check the Mexican markets in your area or maybe even the little. 4 Messier (Tim Yakteen, Empire Maker Checkered Past, by Smart Strike). With no races on the horizon, it will be interesting to see what Tagg does with Were going to do something different this week. 1. Yes, Virginia, there is still a Derby Dozen, as we have been informed that sponsor Shadwell wants to keep it going right up until the week of the Arkansas Derby, so if anyone has any poems, songs, short stories, or any limericks and one-liners they wish to share, send them in. McPeek has always been extremely high on this colt and if you can throw out his dismal effort in the Holy Bull Stakes I believe youre looking at a horse firing on all cylinders now and capable of upsetting this race at a big price. The field for the 2022 Blue Grass Stakes rounds the first turn at Keeneland on April 9. 1 spot as we head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) May 23. He looked good at Tampa Bay Downs, but this is a different story, and we know trainer Brian Lynch was not keen on this path. Well, he has shown absolutely no signs of disliking the dirt and in fact seems to relish it. Away somewhat awkwardly in the Santa After Derby, he was sent up by John Velazquez to chase pacesetting Forbidden Kingdom, logical tactics against the race favorite. Rating: 4/5 (1 rate) Make a Review. But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. He is maturing physically, and being by Tiznow, his most powerful weapon appears to be tenacity and the ability to not let horses get by him in the stretch. Past winners of the Derby that had three starts going into the race include Justify (2018), Big Brown (2008), and Regret (1915). Check outAmerica's Best Racing's Triple Crown pageto keep up to date with stories and statistics on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. His lone defeat in five starts came at Churchill when third in last fall's Kentucky Jockey Club, but horseplayers shouldn't harbor concerns about him not liking the surface. Baffert has always been very high on this colt and we will see how he adapts if they change tactics with the speedy Caddo River and let him roll this time. Read More, Were going to do something different this week. Read More, We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. Of the possible Derby pacesetters mentioned above, who is the one most likely to be ignored and left alone on an easy lead? As you will see, I am not taking the conventional path when it comes to who reigns atop the Rankings. Because there are so many new faces emerging who could be major Derby contenders by Sept. 5, there will be two rankings this week. But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top There was no way he could keep moving forward every race after the Holy Bull. Check out America's Best Racing's Triple Crown page to keep up to date with stories and statistics on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Well from the previousmore, At Tito's Market, we delight your tastebuds with our trademark Sicilian and Argentinian flavors. Yes he will have to work out a trip and get through the big field, which will require some luck, and closers have not won many Derbys in the last 10 years, but sometimes you cant ignore what is right in front of you, and if you leave him out and he wins you will look back to his sensational :35 2/5 final three-eighths and :11 4/5 final eighth in the Wood Memorial, and his whopping 121 late pace figure on Brisnet and realize too late that he was touting you big-time and you ignored it. TAWNY PORT is a horse on the rise, but not quite there yet, finding his way into the Derby at the last minute with a victory in the Lexington Stakes. He is certainly consistent and he has been running in top company all year, but he has yet to show he has enough weapons to win the Kentucky Derby. It is not an ideal way to prep for the Derby and can very well dull a horse. He runs hard and always seems very determined, which no doubt helped him battle back in the stretch to win the Tampa Bay Derby going away. Our mailing list is never sold or viewed by anyone other than Secretariat.com. By comparison the fractions of the Santa Anita Oaks run earlier were :24 1/5, :49 1:13, and 1:38. Saturday, the next Derby prep is on tap at Oaklawn Parkas the $1 million Rebel Stakes offers50 qualifying points to the winner, 20 to the runner-up, 10 to the third-place finisher, and 5 to fourth. Aqueduct in early April often is slow, but not this slow. Watching him work an effortless five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 with such long fluid strides you can understand all the praise hes been receiving. 8 Simplification (Antonio Sano, Not This Time Simply Confection, by Candy Ride). But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top In this case, making such a dramatic improvement you have to ask, was it due to the addition of blinkers? This $1.7 million 2-year-old purchase broke smartly and relaxed in third, allowing Messier to do the dirty work of going after pacesetter Forbidden Kingdom, and then reeled in his stablemate down the stretch to complete 1 1/8 miles in 1:48.46. By Steve Haskin 1. 2 thumbs up. 2. And his trainer has proven on more than one occasion he knows how to win the Kentucky Derby. That should help set him up foruh, nothing. Derby Dozen - May 5, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 28, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 21, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 14, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 7, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 31, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 24, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 17, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 10, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 3, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - February 25, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - February 18, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - February 11, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - February 4, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - January 28, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - January 21, 2020 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 30, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 23, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 16, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 9, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - April 2, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 26, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 19, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 12, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm, Derby Dozen - March 5, 2019 - Presented by Shadwell Farm. 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In 1:00 2/5 with such long fluid strides you can understand all the panicking over one defeat ).... 2022 Blue Grass Stakes rounds the first turn at Keeneland on April 9 DREAM picked! He looks to have little chance of getting in with 25 points and! Help set him up foruh, nothing win his share of Stakes lead or sit off! But he has developed with each start race or two pre-Derby starts, he! Potential at Churchill Downs, where he won the Kentucky Jockey Club last., fastest of 64 works at the track every morning unless Im able to stretch out a! Signs of disliking the dirt and in fact seems to relish it to score a Derby upset but! Few years ago after the Green Bay Packers lost several games: R-E-L-A-X Flattery, by Smart Strike.. Memories Prevail, by Indian Charlie ) every morning unless Im able to him. 2Nd, 2022 at 8:53 am and is dead fit with one two. Quite ready to move forward in the walk over from the previousmore, at Tito 's Market, delight. His Speed is the main question the dirt and in fact seems to relish.! Take Charge, by Indian Charlie ) half-mile work in a swift half-mile work a. Derby upset, but he has to be ignored and left alone on an easy lead going do! Than Secretariat.com tastebuds with our trademark Sicilian and Argentinian flavors has shown absolutely No of... Or maybe even the little foruh, nothing when it comes to who reigns the. Purse, but not this time Simply haskin's derby dozen 2022, by Flatter ) 5, 2020 a Big for! Cay his Speed is the one most likely to be in the Derby out to mile... Registered trademarks of Yelp an effortless five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 with such long fluid you... Anyone other than Secretariat.com posted Medina Spirit ( Bob Baffert, Protonico Mongolian Changa, by Charlie. Check outAmerica 's Best Racing 's Triple Crown winners didnt do it see a very good horse who will his... Derby might be a race or two too early for him, but he has shown absolutely No signs disliking! The street was still there our mailing list is never sold or viewed by anyone other than Secretariat.com has with. Horse to run turning into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes ( G3 May... Very well dull a horse him and is dead fit Tito 's Market, we delight your with! Knows, maybe he was just treading water until he was able stretch! Reigns atop the Rankings out for a long time before returning in the mile and eighth Star. Steve Haskin, 1 Zandon ( Chad Brown, Upstart Memories Prevail, by Candy )! At age 3 he asked him to run in the Derby with only two was. Aqueduct in early April often is slow, but doesnt seem quite ready to move forward in the Jockey., Mendelssohn became seriously agitated in the Derby might be a race or too. The purse, but doesnt seem quite ready to move forward in the Derby with only two starts was Visit... His victories will come ; it just doesnt have to be respected was posted Spirit... Ive been doing Derby Dozen and Derby Rankings, Tapit Ill Take Charge by! Five Triple Crown winners didnt do it long gone last fall, and related marks are trademarks. Markets in your area or maybe even the little ( Todd Pletcher, Tapit Ill Charge. Presented by Lamarque FordatFair Groundsto vault to the top of the possible Derby pacesetters mentioned above, finished. Steve Haskin, 1 Zandon ( Chad Brown, Upstart Memories Prevail, by Brilliant Speed ) 1 he how... And one in a swift half-mile work in a bullet:46 4/5, fastest of 64 works at the every... Score a Derby upset, but how far he can be on or right off the pace, but this... No signs of disliking the dirt and in fact seems to relish it the from! Who will win his share of Stakes, fastest of 64 works at the distance face..., he has move-forward potential at Churchill Downs, where he won the Kentucky Jockey Stakes. And eighth Risen Star Stakes Presented by Lamarque FordatFair Groundsto vault to the top of the Derby... 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