(Our projection was Huskies 31-27.). And the Blue Devils offense is unlikely to keep pace in a high-scoring affair. If you want further details on this week's card, check out our college football home page with every game preview as well as The Early Reed from Tuesday, our college football betting show that is LIVE every Tuesday at 1 PM EST. The Sooners have re-asserted themselves as the team to beat in the Big 12, but Kansas State has played them tough under Chris Klieman. Oregon State is also unbeaten coming into this game, but it has been much less impressive through its first three outings. 11 Tennessee vs. No. And that Demon Deacons defense doesn't appear to be any better than it was last year. No. Utah won the regular-season meeting 43-42 on Oct. 16 and has the chance to play . In last week's victory against UTSA, Robinson recorded 20 carries for 183 yards and three touchdowns. Independent Big 12 Blog for updated info. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Prediction: Penn State 45, Central Michigan 20, No. 19 BYU Cougars (2-1) vs. Wyoming Cowboys (3-1) [10:15 p.m.]. Looking to make Week 12 College Football picks but unsure what to do? 12 Notre Dame and No. Here is a look at our track record against the spread this season. 3) Favorites went 15-0 straight up and 14-1 against the . The Zips lost 60-10 to Auburn in Week 1, and Ohio State could match that total in a rare prime-time game against a MAC opponent. Robinson is having a stellar season for the Longhorns in 2022, recording 51 carries for 311 yards and five touchdowns. So, Arkansas is the 2022 version of 2021 Michigan State, yeah? Enjoy the free college football picks against the spread as well! All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Pick: Michigan wins 42-20 and COVERS the spread. section: | slug: college-football-odds-picks-predictions-best-bets-for-week-4-2022-computer-simulation-backs-usc-texas | sport: collegefootball | route: article_single.us | MORE: Bowl projections - Texas vs. Miami for all the Cheez-Its? Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News. The Bears are off to a 3-0 start under second-year coach Dave Aranda with the help of a three-headed rushing attack that averages 328.5 yards per game and an improved defense. Full T&C apply. "That doesn't bode well for Gators quarterback Anthony Richardson, who hasn't thrown a touchdown pass and is a massive liability to Billy Napier's offense." Each other section is presented in chronological order of kickoff time. The Huskies are 2-2 ATS. The home team has won the last four meetings, and three of those games have been decided by seven points or less. ATS PICK Missouri. Ole Miss entered this season having allowed at least 14 points in 25 consecutive games, but it has allowed just 13 total points during this 3-0 start. Can the Golden Flashes sneak in a cover here? For his next trick, Taulia Tagovailoa will perform his famous disappearing act. Every AP Top 10 team won by double digitsthough No. And if you are looking to wager or bet against the spread on any of these games or Top 25 contests, our NCAA experts are ready with their predictions and picks. Each week during the 2022/2023 college football season, every game will be evaluated with a computer algorithm generated prediction using a large array of the latest team statistics. The Badgers will try to make a much-needed statement for the Big Ten West on the road. Kansas State, however, is coming off a loss to Tulane. The Cougars are allowing fewer than 13 points per game, have forced seven turnovers this season and have 14 sacks, which is tied for second nationally. Not all the games are up right now, but they will be available in the next day or two. 18 Wisconsin meet at Soldier Field in Chicago for the Big Noon Kickoff game, and No . SportsLine's model is projecting Robinson to rush 114 yards and a touchdown on Saturday, helping the Longhorns cover in 60% of simulations. Week 3 was a classic example of a truly terrific weekend of college football. Bowl projections - Texas vs. Miami for all the Cheez-Its? Who knows what to make of Florida? 22 Texas (-7) goes on the road and covers against Texas Tech in a 3:30 p.m. Iowa State had its get-right game last week. 250/167 = 59.95% = $75,500 profit / average American makes $53,000 250 times $950 the average win =$237,500- minus $167,000 in losses is $75,000 in profit Compounding monetary eff But for now, here are our first early Week 4 college football odds, picks, and predictions. Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. 1 Alabama (2016) and a 45-13 loss to No. Will the Bulldogs stay focused after last week's impressive SEC opener against South Carolina? Pick: Ohio State wins 52-7 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. 12 Notre Dame (+6.5) vs. No. 14 Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) vs. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-2) [Noon]. The rushing attack is dominant, the quarterback is certainly good enough to capitalize when the opposing defense over-commits to slowing down the run and the defense gets sacks in bunches. No. New users only, 21 or older. After dismantling Arkansas-Pine Bluff by a final score of 63-7, Oklahoma State gets the week off to prepare for a massive Week 5 showdown with No. But Slovis or no Slovis, it's unlikely Pitt will be sweating this one out quite like Arkansas was against its FCS foe (Missouri State) in Week 3. LINE Missouri -1.5. 25 Miami Hurricanes (2-1) vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. The Top 25 games are listed in ascending order of ranking. We will have 6 more Premium Picks against the spread this week! Biggest plays from Alabama's wild win over Florida. Texas A&M got back on track with the victory against Miami, but the Aggies must generate a running game against an Arkansas run defense that allows just 68.3 yards per game. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Kentucky's inability to run the ball is becoming a very real concern. 10 Arkansas vs. No. ET matchup in Corvallis. Finally, intangibles such as Covid-19, injuries, suspensions, weather, and trends will be used in the days leading into the game to provide an accurate prediction for each game versus the Vegas spread. Pick: Georgia wins 42-9 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. But the Sooners look different and better on defense with former long-time Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venables now running the program. When you want to bet on an elite team but don't want to risk $600 or more to win $100, our expert NBA picks against the spread are the way to go. No. It's the Spartans secondary that leaves an awful lot to be desired, and Minnesota has not been anything close to prolific through the air dating back to the start of 2020. He has completed 88.2 percent of his minimal pass attempts, and he should make a spirited push toward the top three of the Heisman conversation in this game against a secondary that has allowed 661 passing yards and six touchdowns over the past two games against Charlotte and SMU. The temperatures across the country are dropping, but college football's bowl season is starting to warm up.So far, the bowl action has been limited to mostly teams without a little number beside their namethose who were never in the hunt for the title to begin with but certainly earned the right to play one more game through the proliferation of smaller bowls.However, those who have earned a . Pick: USC wins 38-30 and COVERS the spread. Overlooked in high school, QB Cam Ward has his eye on the NFL. Get a $50 Bonus Bet + up to $1K Back in Bonus Bets! Pick: Florida wins 38-20 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. In this coin flip of a game, the team that controls the tempo figures to get the W. To that end, the status of UNC WR Josh Downs is monumental. After Week 2 of the 2022 college football season went completely off the rails, Week 3 was considerably more sedated. In fact, the Razorbacks are dead last in the nation at 352.7 passing yards allowed per game. Do we get another cover here? His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and MLB player props. Pick: Kentucky wins 35-10 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. For the second week in a row last week Ole Miss smashed Georgia Tech 42-0 as 17-point favorites the spread looks a few points short. Smith leading that charge. Notice the Offensive Run and Pass points to get an idea of potential [], College Football Bowl Season will feature Alabama Vs Cincinnati, Georgia Vs Michigan, Baylor Vs Ole Miss, and Utah Vs Ohio State. Pick: Washington wins 34-24 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. That seems about right considering New Mexico has scored 14 points or fewer in six of its nine games. Wake Forests Sam Hartman threw for 312 yards in the meeting last year and should have even more success against a secondary that ranks among the nations bottom half despite its soft early schedule. They do not store directly personal information . See which other teams the model likes here. 8 min read. Utah, however, has looked like a different team since the Week 1 loss to Florida. Brian Kelly is 14-8 against Big Ten opponents. Trying to get back above .500 with the game lines . Take the value with this spread being under a touchdown. No. No. Final score: Arizona 34-28 (62 total). Air Force has scored fewer than 27 points four times - 14 against Wyoming and Boise State, and 13 against Army and Navy. Don't let the 41-20 final score fool you. This game is a Premium Pick. Because with a ginormous game at Clemson coming up next weekend, the Wolfpack are going to want to pull Devin Leary and Co. as soon as possible. The Ducks are 0-2 ATS as a favorite this season. The Razorbacks' rushing attack features five players who have at least 100 yards rushing, and K.J. Kent State has had a lot of experience against AP Top 10 opponents over the past decade, but all of it has been awful. Arizona averaged 16.3 points per game through three weeks, and the Wildcats struggled with turnovers in a Week 3 loss to Northern Arizona. Final score: North Carolina 36-34 (70). I know not to rely on Iowa to score more than once. This could be a pick 'em by kickoff. Pick: Clemson wins 28-16 and COVERS the spread. ET matchup in Lubbock. This should be a fun game between undefeated Big 12 teams that have survived early-season tests. You can like The Game Haus on . Pick: Utah wins 33-14 and COVERS the spread. What college football picks can you hit with confidence in Week 0, and which big favorite will get a big scare? Vanderbilt has improved under second-year coach Clark Lea, and the Crimson Tide have been plagued by penalties. Jimbo Fisher let Max Johnson start the subsequent game against Miami, and he merely went 10-for-20 for 140 yardspretty much all of it to either Ainias Smith or Devon Achane. Stroud (Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images), Auburn head coach Bryan Harsin (Michael Chang/Getty Images), Iowa QB Spencer Petras (Matthew Holst/Getty Images), Coastal Carolina (3-0) at Georgia State (0-3) [7:30 p.m.]: Coastal Carolina 27-23, West Virginia (1-2) at Virginia Tech (2-1) [7:30 p.m.]: Virginia Tech 31-30, Chattanooga (FCS) at Illinois (2-1) [8:30 p.m.]: Illinois 35-21, Virginia (2-1) at Syracuse (3-0) [7 p.m.]: Syracuse 28-21, Nevada (2-2) at Air Force (2-1) [8 p.m.]: Air Force 35-14, Boise State (2-1) at UTEP (1-3) [9 p.m.]: Boise State 38-14, South Florida (1-2) at Louisville (1-2) [Noon]: Louisville 35-28, Buffalo (0-3) at Eastern Michigan (2-1) [Noon]: Eastern Michigan 35-20, Bowling Green (1-2) at Mississippi State (2-1) [Noon]: Mississippi State 42-10, Missouri (2-1) at Auburn (2-1) [Noon]: Auburn 27-23, UCLA (3-0) at Colorado (0-3) [2 p.m.]: UCLA 45-17, Massachusetts (1-2) at Temple (1-2) [2 p.m.]: Temple 28-17, Fordham (FCS) at Ohio (1-2) [2 p.m.]: Ohio 34-16, Toledo (2-1) at San Diego State (1-2) [3:30 p.m.]: Toledo 21-20, Texas Southern (FCS) at UTSA (1-2) [3:30 p.m.]: UTSA 42-13, Florida International (1-1) at Western Kentucky (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]: Western Kentucky 51-13, North Texas (2-2) at Memphis (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]: Memphis 38-28, Sacramento State (FCS) at Colorado State (0-3) [4 p.m.]: Sacramento State 24-21, Georgia Tech (1-2) at UCF (2-1) [4 p.m.]: UCF 34-17, Arizona (2-1) at California (2-1) [5:30 p.m.]: California 21-17, Arkansas State (1-2) at Old Dominion (1-2) [6 p.m.]: Old Dominion 31-20, Rice (2-1) at Houston (1-2) [6 p.m.]: Houston 35-14, Navy (0-2) at East Carolina (2-1) [6 p.m.]: East Carolina 31-10, Akron (1-2) at Liberty (2-1) [6 p.m.]: Liberty 45-14, Ball State (1-2) at Georgia Southern (2-1) [6 p.m.]: Ball State 31-28, UNLV (2-1) at Utah State (1-2) [7 p.m.]: Utah State 28-26, Marshall (2-1) at Troy (1-2) [7 p.m.]: Troy 27-20, Houston Baptist (FCS) at Texas State (1-2) [7 p.m.]: Texas State 28-17, Louisiana Tech (1-2) at South Alabama (2-1) [7 p.m.]: South Alabama 28-24, Southern Miss (1-2) at Tulane (3-0) [7 p.m.]: Tulane 31-14, Iowa (2-1) at Rutgers (3-0) [7 p.m.]: Iowa 20-13, Miami (OH) (1-2) at Northwestern (1-2) [7:30 p.m.]: Northwestern 21-10, Charlotte (1-3) at South Carolina (1-2) [7:30 p.m.]: South Carolina 41-17, Florida Atlantic (2-2) at Purdue (1-2) [7:30 p.m.]: Purdue 35-14, New Mexico (2-1) at LSU (2-1) [7:30 p.m.]: LSU 35-7, Hawai'i (1-3) at New Mexico State (0-4) [8 p.m.]: Hawai'i 31-28, Louisiana (2-1) at UL Monroe (1-2) [8 p.m.]: Louisiana 38-16, Boston College (1-2) at Florida State (3-0) [8 p.m.]: Florida State 31-13, Western Michigan (1-2) at San Jose State (1-1) [10:30 p.m.]: San Jose State 28-21. The Buckeyes' hammered Wisconsin 38-7 in their last visit to The Shoe in 2019. Pick: NC State wins 48-10 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. Wildcats quarterback Will Levis should have a field day in this one, even if Mark Stoops treats this game as an opportunity to get the run game going. Another Saturday, another loaded slate of college football. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. still leads another victory, but it will be late-night fun. D.J. It needed a last-minute touchdown to win the opener against Illinois, trailed 10-0 at halftime against Idaho in Week 2 before rallying for a victory over an FCS opponent and needed a last-minute touchdown, a two-point conversion and overtime to beat Western Kentucky. We'll trust the Ducks on the road, but there will be some anxious moments in what could be a trendy upset pick. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Still, we like that running game at home. ET matchup in . No. The Wildcats got caught looking ahead and lost outright as a two-touchdown favorite against Tulane. Both teams are ranked in the AP Top 20, and while Tennessee is both ranked higher and the home team, Florida has completely owned this SEC East rivalry as of late, winning five straight and 16 of the last 17 meetings dating back to 2005. This time they are a 23 point favorite. The 2022 college football season is back and that means it's time for more fantastic matchups, thrilling finishes and betting. But while Tulsa might score a few touchdowns, Ole Miss might not need to punt once against a less than stellar Golden Hurricane defense. ATS picks for college football's Week 4 action. The Ducks have won the last two meetings by 14 points and found their groove with Bo Nix in the victory against BYU in Week 3. Pick: Ole Miss wins 38-17 and COVERS the spread. They have a showdown with No. Notre Dame got off to a slow start, but it has picked up wins against UNLV and Syracuse in its last two games. The Bulldogs are 30-plus favorites for the second straight week in an SEC East game, and they will win the game behind a solid rushing attack and efficient play from J.T. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegefootball | pageType: stories | This Vanderbilt defense allowed 495 total yards to Elon in Week 1 and 45 points against Wake Forest the week after that. The Badgers will try to make a much-needed statement for the Big Ten West on the road. No. Alabama 34, State of Kansas 24 Choose: Alabama-6.5 Fiesta: No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers hosting Anthony Richardson and the No. But while Tennessee quarterback Hendon Hooker has been just about flawless since the start of last season (36 passing touchdowns, seven rushing touchdowns, three interceptions), Florida quarterback Anthony Richardson has been flawful? 2023 Minute Media - All Right Reserved. Prediction: Miami 38, Middle Tennessee 10, No. No. Available in AZ, CT, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. The Gators Wire crew converged to give their predictions for the Gators. So what college football picks can you make with confidence? Pick: BYU wins 42-13 and COVERS the spread. 10 Tennessee in a classic SEC East rivalry. The Beavers only beat Fresno State by three points two weeks ago. 3) Favorites went 15-0 straight up and 14-1 against the spread in the games from the column last week. The 2022 College Football Week 4 will feature Wisconsin Vs Ohio St and Florida Vs Tennessee. Many other factors are taken into account for the final prediction such as power rankings, returning starters, home field, coaching, strength of schedule, and against the spread average. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. The Bulldogs' lone win surpassing this spread was against Oregon. The Wolverines have won three home meetings against the Scarlet Knights by an average of 35.3 points per game. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. The Mountaineers have played one-score games against Maryland and Virginia Tech, and Ledee Brown could have a big game on the ground. But if the Hoosiers can get to 4-0 via a road win over Cincinnati, they suddenly need to be taken kind of seriously. They crushed two mid-majors and beat a shorthanded Pittsburgh squad without its quarterback, following a 7-6 season in which they went 1-4 against ranked opponents. Over the past three-plus years, he is 113-93 in his popular best bets column at SportsLine, including going 8-4 so far this season. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (3-0) vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (1-2) [7 p.m.]. Pick: Miami wins 42-14 and COVERS the spread. Texas State at Nevada. 18 Wisconsin, 12 p.m . Prediction: Pittsburgh 41, Rhode Island 16, No. The Demon Deacons havent lost at home in two years and the outright upset is in play. That said, this is the kind of statement game the Irish need. 4 Michigan (-26.5) at Rutgers (7:30 p.m., BTN) Rutgers has kept the last two games close against the Wolverines; losing by an average of 6. . Fresh off a 59-0 loss to Michigan, the only question here is whether Connecticut can hang around long enough to keep NC State's first-team offense on the field into the third quarter. Pick: Ohio State wins 38-17 and COVERS the spread. LINES Nevada -1 ATS PICK Nevada. Pick: Notre Dame wins 24-23 in an UPSET. The latest Week 4 college football odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Volunteers as 10.5-point favorites at home. 9. CMU's defense allowed over 500 yards and a combined 96 points in its losses to Oklahoma State (understandable) and South Alabama (less understandable). The Fighting Irish should be playing with far less pressure away from home, following their first win of the season. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-2) at North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0) [3:30 p.m.]. Texas got all it could handle last Saturday at home against UTSA, leading by just four points late in the third quarter before Jahdae Barron ran back a back-breaking pick-six to jump-start the 21-point victory. The Aggies were upset by Appalachian State two weeks ago, but they bounced back with a 17-9 win over then-No. 4 Michigan Wolverines (3-0) vs. Maryland Terrapins (3-0) [Noon]. 13 Miami (Fla.) last week. Sophomore quarterback Caleb Williams has thrown for 874 yards and eight touchdowns while avoiding any interceptions, and running back Travis Dye has turned 30 carries into 227 yards and two touchdowns. They will again . With the record number of upsets through the first three weeks, that has not been easy. *Note: The Rhode Island vs. No. The Tigers still have a nasty defense, and D.J. Beware of the back-door cover here, but we'll trust that track record with Penn State. But they're better than that, and they should bounce back in a big way against a Wyoming offense that has managed just four touchdowns through three games against FBS opponents (Illinois, Tulsa and Air Force). It's on the Red Raiders to keep up with the Bijan Robinson-led offense. Marshall -2 at Troy, over/under: 52. The Red Raiders have not beat the Longhorns in Lubbock since the legendary 39-33 shootout in 2008. Oregon State (45.7 ppg.) Pitt QB Kedon Slovis (undisclosed upper body injury) did not play in last week's 34-13 win at Western Michigan, though he was cleared to do so. No. No. Miami bounces back from the Texas A&M loss with a crisp performance at home. Alabama has covered two 40-point spreads this season, and they do it again here. Enjoy the []. Use the Matchup generator below to analyze all games. Pick: Auburn wins 41-13 and COVERS the spread. BENDER: Alabama's close call, FSU's disastrous start and more takeaways from Week 3. The Sooners have won the last three games in Norman by 20 points or more. The Commodores finally look ready to escape the SEC basement, with head coach Clark Leas switch to talented freshman quarterback AJ Swann giving Vanderbilt its most optimism in years. 2 Alabama to No. No. as pre-draft murmurs have begun coming out of the college football season.With Kentucky's Will . Fortunately for the ranked team in this matchup, the NIU secondary is abysmal, having allowed 11 passing touchdowns through its first three games against Eastern Illinois, Tulsa and Vanderbilt. The Golden Flashes sneak in a Week 3 was a classic example a... Week 's impressive SEC opener against South Carolina at 352.7 passing yards allowed per game 2022, 51. 6 more Premium picks against the spread Irish ( 1-2 ) [ 10:15 p.m. ] and they it. Jr. still leads another victory, but we 'll trust that track record Penn. 42-13 and COVERS the spread and predictions, is coming off a loss to No season.With Kentucky #... 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