Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. Hes shown that in the past., Given the results of the poll, Milner said a gubernatorial win by Caldwell would represent the comeback story of the modern Hawaii era. Republican state Rep. Bob McDermott won his party's nomination for U.S. Senate,. Nov. 8, 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. In a filing Wednesday, Lake's Enjoy this free story! Nov. 9, 2022, The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didnt materialize. Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, is facing a strong challenge from the Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka. The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. Maggie Astor Why does Hawaii hold primary elections on Saturdays? Hes a great guy, they said.. Hawaii has not elected a non-incumbent Republican senator since 1959, its first federal election as a state. Runoff Elections. Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. But with turnout typically much lower in primary elections and in midterm cycles, that delay was not expected this year. NYT Graphics endorsement, pro-Branco ads attacked Ms. Tokuda for opposing a 2015 bill that would have banned pesticide spraying around Hawaii schools. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. The Civil Beat/HNN poll was conducted from June 28 to 30 and 1,120 registered voters. Nov. 8, 2022, Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. But his approval rating has since soared from 56% to 65%. Meanwhile, 16% said theyd back Kahele and 15% said they planned to vote for Cayetano. What we expect this year Theres a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. Democrats overwhelmingly approve (83%), as do independents (68%), but Republicans (47%) are not as enthusiastic. Chris Deluzio, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Pennsylvanias 17th Congressional District. Laura Kelly, Democrat, is re-elected as governor of Kansas. Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. Source: Election results and race calls from The Associated Press. Nov. 9, 2022, While the race for Georgias senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governors race was decided last night. I have never seen it so crowded so many people vying to be governor as a Republican, Blair said. GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. Vote Counted. Cayetano said theres time for her to gain support before the first votes are cast. Tuesday, January 3, 2023. Josh Green Wins Big In Democratic Primary By Kevin Dayton / August 13, 2022 Green will face Republican former Lt. Gov. Alicia Parlapiano While Tuesdays election represented a strong performance by a first-term presidents party, the individual showings of Senate candidates varied widely. Thats not what Kirk Caldwell does, Milner said. Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles Greens theoretical vote tally dipped from 58% in January to 55% in July. Lazaro Gamio 2018 Hawaii governor . Its hard to imagine how his numbers would dip to put him in danger., >> RELATED: Undecided votes critical in tight race for lieutenant governor, >> RELATED: Hawaii Poll reveals isle voters attitudes toward Ige, Blangiardi. David Ige, a Democrat who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. It included 800 registered Hawaii voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The question was put to 320 likely Democratic primary voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points. On paper, the two main candidates held similar positions, including support for abortion rights and for stricter gun laws. A second batch of results is expected to be released three hours after polls close, at 10 p.m. local time on Saturday. Albert Sun We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all We are very happy with the support we continue to receive, and I am working hard to help Hawaii not only recover from the pandemic, but to build a stronger and healthier community as a result. We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. Initially, he focused on combating homelessness. >> RELATED: Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, >> RELATED: Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows. Read more about the methodology. Alicia Parlapiano Democrats currently control the governorship and full congressional. Wiley Nickel, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent North Carolinas 13th Congressional District. Lazaro Gamio Maggie Astor The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2022, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors serve two-year terms and will elect their governors in 2024 . Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaii's next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval . Josh Green, Hawaiis second-in-command, wins the Democratic primary for governor. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. That batch will include the remainder of the mail ballots and all ballots cast in person on Election Day. The incumbent, Representative Ed Case, faces only token opposition in the Democratic primary and is expected to defeat whomever Republicans nominate. On the Republican side, former Lt. Gov. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. Thats almost a third of all ballots sent out this cycle and more than all mail ballots returned in the entire 2018 primary election. Were getting results from five states where voters are deciding whether to legalize marijuana. The New York Timess results team is a group of graphics editors, engineers and reporters who build and maintain software to publish election results in real-time as they are reported by results providers. Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary in August likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection. Seth Magaziner, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Rhode Islands Second Congressional District. No election. The campaign has gained momentum, and I look forward to a competitive race.. You deserve to hear our thinking. Candidate Total Votes Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. Lazaro Gamio Albert Sun Activate your Digital Account now. All rights reserved. Hes the most popular politician in Hawaii, thats for sure. In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. State officials will first publish the results of all mail ballots that were received before Election Day. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. Here are the main races well be watching. Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. Beyond guns and abortion, Ms. Tokuda who spent 12 years in the Hawaii Senate and rose to become the chairwoman of the Ways and Means Committee, before stepping down in 2018 to run unsuccessfully for lieutenant governor has called for suspending the federal gas tax, expanding the earned-income tax credit and extending the more generous child tax credit that Congress recently allowed to expire. New York's 26th District. Governor: Hawaii CNN coverage: What a 51-49 Senate majority means for Democrats Voters deliver ringing endorsement of abortion rights on midterm ballot initiatives across the US Why were the. There are seven Democratic candidates, the most prominent of whom are Lt. Gov. The Timess election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Kristen Bayrakdarian, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Vronique Brossier, Irineo Cabreros, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Avery Dews, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Lazaro Gamio, Martn Gonzlez Gmez, Will Houp, Jon Huang, Samuel Jacoby, Jason Kao, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Vivian Li, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Jaymin Patel, Marcus Payadue, Matt Ruby, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Jaime Tanner, James Thomas, Urvashi Uberoy, Ege Uz, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Print subscriber but without online access? , Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, defeated Doug Mastriano, a Trump-backed election denier, in the race for Pennsylvanias governor. . We rated every race in play in 2022. Honolulu, HI 96813 And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. Follow along after polls close. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. Who's ahead in the Hawaii governor race? Were tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes. I cant recall anyone having numbers this high, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. Roughly 1 in 5 of those polled were still unsure who they planned to support. Only 2% of voters did not recognize Greens name, the lowest of all of the gubernatorial candidates. James R. "Duke" Aiona takes the win with 45.7% (37,406) votes, followed by retired MMA fighter BJ Penn with 24.1% (19,667) votes and Gary. Hawaii has elected only one Republican governor in the last 50 years, so the focus is on the Democratic primary though Republicans will also be choosing a nominee, from a crowded 10-candidate field. Civil Beat/HNN poll shows Green with commanding lead in Democratic race for governor. Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. The Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsed her in June, saying in a statement at the time, In Hawaii, Jill has led on affordable housing, education, womens reproductive freedom and gun violence prevention, and shell do the same in Congress.. While 79% of Democrats say they approve of Greens overall performance, so do 52% of Republicans and 57% of independent poll participants. Sergio Alcubilla, attorney and former director of external relations, Tommy Waters, Honolulu city councilmember and chair, Hawaii Regional Council of Carpenters (HRCC), Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii, United Public Workers, AFSCME, Local 646, AFL-CIO, General Contractors Association of Hawaii, Lynn Barry Mariano, retired Army Officer and Civil Servant, Paul Morgan, business consultant and former member of the, Peter Savio, businessperson and real estate developer, State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union, This page was last edited on 17 February 2023, at 23:45. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. Maggie Astor Some 35% of Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders said they support Green compared to 32% who say theyd back Kahele, who is Native Hawaiian. [50] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election. Nov. 8, 2022, The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. In third place is City Councilwoman Heidi Tsuneyoshi at 9%. Despite this, Aiona performed 3 points better and received 20,000 more raw votes than Andria Tupola did in 2018. Today's Paper. A 65% approval rating is pretty remarkable for someone whos been in office for a while and was the face of COVID. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week of the campaign. Maggie Astor The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. I would definitely say Josh Green, Briscoe said. Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. The leading candidates in the Democratic primary the main attraction given the districts partisan tilt are Jill Tokuda, a former state senator, and Patrick Branco, a state representative. But the seat is not considered competitive in November. Hawaii is one of the nation's most reliably blue states, with Democrats dominating federal and . Keith Amemiya, a business executive, polls at 10% while Sherry Menor-McNamara, head of the Chamber of Commerce Hawaii, is at 7%. Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022 When polls close Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. . Milner, the political analyst, however, said quitting a political race is not part of Caldwells DNA. Virginias Seventh District is one of three races in the state that could offer an early sign of whether the Democrats can retain control of the House. A lot of nations, especially advanced democracies, let voters go to the polls on weekends, when voting doesnt have to compete with work schedules. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. See election results, maps, county-by-county vote counts and more for Hawaii's races on Aug. 13, 2022. . Historically, the selection of Saturday also helped the state find places to hold elections, according to Nedielyn Bueno, a voter service specialist with the Office of Elections. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. . 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